Why the Stock Market Keeps Rising | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Investing in currency involves additional special risks such as credit, interest rate fluctuations, derivative investment risk, and domestic and foreign inflation rates,which can be volatile and may be less liquid than other securities and more sensitive to the effect of varied economic conditions. In addition, international investing entails greater risk, as well as greater potential rewards compared to U.S. investing. These risks include political and economic uncertainties of foreign countries as well as the risk of currency fluctuations. These risks are magnified in countries with emerging markets and frontier markets, since these countries may have relatively unstable governments and less established markets and economies.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

Value investing does not guarantee a profit or eliminate risk. Not all companies whose stocks are considered to be value stocks are able to turn their business around or successfully employ corrective strategies which would result in stock prices that do not rise as initially expected.

Growth investing does not guarantee a profit or eliminate risk. The stocks of these companies can have relatively high valuations. Because of these high valuations, an investment in a growth stock can be more risky than an investment in a company with more modest growth expectations.

Rebalancing does not protect against a loss in declining financial markets. There may be a potential tax implication with a rebalancing strategy. Investors should consult with their tax advisor before implementing such a strategy.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC# 6444624 (03/2024)

Why the Stock Market Keeps Rising | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

Why does the stock market keep increasing? ›

Earnings Are Coming In Strong

“Companies continue to earn record profits,” says Zaccarelli. Those profits are a major component of stock performance, and market watchers expect more growth. “Analysts are increasing their earnings expectations, which is somewhat unusual,” Arone says.

What is the outlook for 2024 Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. Morgan Stanley Economists see global economic growth of 3.1% in 2024 and 2025. Global growth remains steady and inflation is slowing, despite data volatility and shifting rate expectations in the first half.

Why are stock markets rallying? ›

Looming interest rate cuts, healthy economies and corporate earnings are driving the activity. And what's more, there are plenty of potential drivers to keep the rally rolling, such as the $6 trillion sitting in money market funds, while risks remain scarce.

Why is Morgan Stanley a good stock to buy? ›

Revenue Strength: Morgan Stanley remains focused on its revenue growth. The company's net revenues witnessed a CAGR of 6.2% in the last five years (2018-2023), primarily attributable to growth in investment management and wealth management segments as the company lowers its reliance on capital markets-driven revenues.

Will the stock market recover in 2024? ›

Anthony Denier, CEO of the trading platform Webull, says he believes the stock market will ultimately post a positive return in 2024 as investors anticipate interest rate cuts by the Fed.

Will 2024 be a bull or bear market? ›

The S&P 500 soared throughout the year and finally reached a new high in January 2024, making the new bull market official. The onset of a new bull market has historically been a very reliable stock market indicator.

Is now a good time to invest in the stock market? ›

Stock prices have surged significantly over the past 18 months. The S&P 500 is up by 45% since it bottomed out in October 2022, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq has soared by a whopping 58% in that time. Investing now, then, means paying much higher prices than you would if you'd bought a year or two ago.

What are analysts saying about Morgan Stanley? ›

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Morgan Stanley in the last 3 months. The average price target is $102.40 with a high forecast of $118.00 and a low forecast of $89.00. The average price target represents a 6.20% change from the last price of $96.42.

What are the financial predictions for 2024? ›

We foresee both headline and core inflation falling to around 3% year over year by the end of 2024, down from 3.4% and 3.9% on a “trimmed mean” basis, respectively, in February. We expect inflation to fall to the midpoint of the RBA's 2%–3% target range in 2025.

What is driving up the stock market? ›

Two factors are driving the stock market's boom—anticipation of lower interest rates and the transformative power of AI.

What are the three main reasons stock prices go up? ›

That said, we do know a few things about the forces that move a stock up or down. These forces fall into three categories: fundamental factors, technical factors, and market sentiment.

Why there is sudden increase in stock market? ›

If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it (supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall. Understanding supply and demand is easy.

Should I sell Morgan Stanley stock? ›

Is Morgan Stanley stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Morgan Stanley stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 52 buy ratings, 26 hold ratings, and 4 sell ratings.

Is Morgan Stanley a safe place to invest? ›

Is Morgan Stanley Private Bank safe? Yes. Accounts on E-Trade from Morgan Stanley offer double the insurance coverage compared to most other banks. Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account.

Why are stock prices constantly changing? ›

High demand is the primary driver of what makes a stock price go up. The higher the demand, the higher the price investors will be willing to pay for each share (and the higher the price owners will be demanding to sell their shares). Similarly, low demand is the primary driver of what makes a stock price go down.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

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