Investing in Canadian Real Estate in 2023: Opportunities and Emerging Markets (2024)

A comprehensive guide to the real estate investment landscape in Canada, including insights on emerging investment destinations beyond Toronto and Vancouver

The real estate market in Canada has been performing well in recent years, with the industrial and multifamily sectors seeing particularly strong investor demand. According to a report by Altus Group, industrial real estate investment in Canada reached $11.8 billion in 2022, representing a 60% increase from the previous year. The rise of e-commerce has driven increased demand for warehouse and fulfillment space, particularly in urban areas where retailers seek to provide customers with faster delivery times. The pandemic has also accelerated online shopping growth, further boosting demand for industrial real estate assets.

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Logistics and distribution centers have been particularly attractive to investors, as the pandemic has underscored the importance of supply chain resilience and efficiency. As a result, investors have been increasingly focused on well-located industrial properties that can provide quick and reliable access to transportation networks. In addition, there has been a growing interest in specialized properties, such as cold storage facilities, which are used to store perishable goods like food and pharmaceuticals.

Canada’s multifamily real estate sector has been experiencing strong investor demand, driven by a combination of demographic trends and shifts in consumer behaviour. According to JLL Report, multifamily properties will have a strong demand in the long run. As the population ages, there is increasing demand for rental housing options that cater to seniors, such as retirement communities and assisted living facilities.

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At the same time, younger generations are also driving demand for rental housing, as many are unable to afford homeownership due to high housing costs. This is particularly true in major urban centers like Toronto and Vancouver, where housing affordability remains a significant challenge. The pandemic has also accelerated the shift towards rental housing, as people have sought more space and flexibility in their living arrangements.

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Investors have been drawn to the stability and steady income streams that multifamily properties can provide. In addition, there is growing interest in properties that can provide affordable housing options, as affordability remains a key concern in many Canadian cities. As a result, there has been strong investor demand for purpose-built rental apartment buildings and older buildings that can be renovated and modernized to meet current market demand.

Looking ahead, the industrial and multifamily real estate sectors are expected to continue to see strong investor demand in the coming years. According to a report by PwC, Emerging Trends in Real Estate, investors are expected to focus on properties that can provide secure income streams and value-add opportunities. In the industrial sector, there is expected to be a continued emphasis on well-located logistics and distribution centers, as well as specialized properties like cold storage facilities. In the multifamily sector, investors are expected to continue to focus on affordable housing options and properties that can provide flexible living arrangements.

Investor interest in Canadian real estate is expected to remain strong in the coming years, with a particular focus on major cities like Toronto and Vancouver. According to PwC, both cities have seen significant population growth in recent years, which has fueled demand for residential and commercial real estate assets. In addition, both cities have strong economies and are home to many of Canada’s leading businesses, further boosting demand for commercial real estate properties.

However, other cities across Canada are also emerging as attractive investment destinations due to their growing populations and strong economic fundamentals. For example, the city of Montreal has seen significant growth in the technology and innovation sectors, which has driven demand for commercial real estate assets. Montreal is also home to a large student population and has a thriving cultural scene, contributing to the need for residential real estate assets.

The city of Ottawa is another emerging investment destination, with a growing population and strong demand for commercial real estate assets due to its status as the capital city of Canada. Ottawa is home to many government institutions and has a thriving technology sector, which has fueled demand for office and industrial real estate assets.

Halifax is also an emerging investment destination, with a growing population and a strong economy driven by the education, healthcare, and technology sectors. The city has a thriving arts and cultural scene and offers a high quality of life, contributing to the demand for residential real estate assets.

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While major cities like Toronto and Vancouver are expected to remain the primary focus for real estate investors in Canada, other emerging investment destinations have strong economic fundamentals and growing populations. Investors should conduct thorough research and seek professional advice to make informed investment decisions that align with their goals and risk tolerance.

Canada's industrial and multifamily real estate sectors have been performing well in recent years, with solid investor demand driven by long-term trends and changes in consumer behaviour. While the market is subject to fluctuations, there is expected to be continued interest in well-located and specialized properties that can provide secure income streams and value-add opportunities. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and work with qualified professionals to assess any investment opportunity's risks and potential returns.

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References

Investing in Canadian Real Estate in 2023: Opportunities and Emerging Markets (2024)

FAQs

Is real estate a good investment in Canada 2023? ›

While 2023 was a challenging year for commercial real estate, Canada fared relatively well in context. Case in point: Canada's $49.5 billion year for investment represented a 15% year-over-year decrease, however this paled in comparison to global investment activity levels which plummeted by 47% during the same period.

What will the housing market look like in 2023 Canada? ›

Well, 2023 had one last surprise up its sleeve: home resale transactions in Canada bucked the softening trend and rebounded a solid 8.7% m/m in December. What's more, markets in Ontario and British Columbia—regions that cooled off the most since summer—recorded some of the larger increases.

What are the predictions for Canadian real estate? ›

Analyzing the Canadian Real Estate Market: A 5-Year Outlook

The next five years in the Canadian real estate market will be marked by steady growth. While the flurry of activity witnessed in 2020, 2021, and 2022 has tapered, the market remained buoyant in 2023-2024.

Is buying a house in Canada a good investment? ›

Still, most experts agree that buying a house in Canada is a relatively safe investment. The key is to buy within your budget and plan to own the property for more than five years.

Are Canadian REITs a good buy? ›

Canadian real estate investment trusts (REITs) are an excellent way to invest in real estate passively. The idea is that you'll get paid monthly income while you wait for price appreciation.

What is the outlook for real estate in Canada 2024? ›

As a result of less-than-stellar market activity so far this year, CREA (Canadian Real Estate Association) downgraded its 2024 housing market prediction to: A 6.1% increase in home sales by year-end, from an original musing of 10.5% A 2.5% increase in home prices compared to their original estimate of about 4.9%

What is the future of real estate in Canada? ›

Some 472,395 residential properties are forecast to trade hands via Canadian MLS® Systems in 2024, a 6.1% increase from 2023. The national average home price is forecast to climb 2.5% on an annual basis to $694,393 in 2024.

Is Canada in a housing bubble? ›

Toronto scored the highest in the world in Swiss bank UBS' real estate bubble index in 2022, with Vancouver also scoring among the 10 riskiest cities in the world. The Royal Bank of Canada analysis showed that Canadian housing had become the least affordable that it had ever been.

When to buy a house in Canada? ›

Choose the right time of year
  • January is the best time to make an offer on a home. Not many buyers want to brave the cold to shop for a home, so prices are the lowest. ...
  • The market picks up from February onward. ...
  • House prices peak in the hot season, especially in June and July.

Will Canadian real estate rebound? ›

The agency's latest housing market outlook, released Thursday morning, said affordability in the home ownership market will be a concern for the next three years as declining mortgage rates and the country's strongest population growth since the 1950s will likely spur a rebound in home sales and prices.

Why invest in Canada real estate? ›

For real estate investors, looking to Canada can diversify one's portfolio of properties and generate an alternative source of rental income. U.S. residents can own property in Canada without becoming a resident of Canada, but must report income or proceeds from a sale to both country's taxing authorities.

How long will house prices stay high in Canada? ›

This resurgence will also be driven by a shift in demand towards lower-priced homes and markets across Canada. We project sales levels in 2025 – 2026 to slightly surpass the past 10-year average but remain below the record 2020 – 2021 levels because housing will remain expensive for the average household.

Is it cheaper to buy a house in USA or Canada? ›

According to WOWA, the average price of a home in Canada in November was CA$646,134, which is $487,540 in U.S. dollars. “Homes in Canada appear to be about 19% more expensive, after the currency conversion,” Hodgson said.

What is the 1% rent rule in Canada? ›

The 1% rule is used as a simple guideline to quickly estimate whether or not a rental property will generate enough cash flow to be a worthwhile investment. The rule states that the monthly rent should be equal to or greater than 1% of the purchase price.

Can Americans buy property in Canada in 2024? ›

The Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act (the “Act”), which came into force on January 1, 2023, and prohibits non-Canadians from purchasing, directly or indirectly, residential real estate in Canada for an initial period of two years, is now extended to January 1, 2027.

Is Canada a good country to invest in real estate? ›

Canada is an attractive country for foreign investors looking to invest in real estate. The Canadian real estate market is known to be stable and secure, and larger cities such as Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal are very popular with international investors. How to invest in the Canadian real estate market?

Can Americans buy houses in Canada 2023? ›

Effective as of January 1, 2023, the Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act (the “Act”) prevents non-Canadians from buying residential property in Canada for 2 years. IMPORTANT: Please read the disclaimer for this page.

What is the average return on real estate in Canada? ›

Question: What is the Average Return on Real Estate in Canada? Answer: The average return on real estate in Canada can vary widely, but historically it has been around 5-7% annually.

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