Climatology of a Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze (2024)


Climatology of a
First Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze
across Western and North Central Nebraska

The farming/gardening growing season typically ends during the months of September or October across western and north central Nebraska. Many plants are sensative to freezing conditions, and will stop their production once temperatures reach or fall below 32 degrees. A freeze will occur when temperatures reach or fall below 32 degrees. While some plants are able to with stand a brief period at or just below 32 degrees, most plants will not survive once temperatures drop to or below 28 degrees (often refer to as a killing freeze). Below are several sites across western and north central Nebraska with the probability of a freeze or killing freeze based on reports from airport and cooperative observations. The probability is based on the chance a freeze/killing freeze will occur on or before the date. The interactive forecast is a graphical representation (a bar across time) of National Weather Service forecasted hourly temperatures over the next 7 days. If there is no bar then no freeze/killing freeze conditions are forecasted. The links are different for freeze conditions (equal or less than 32º) and killing freeze conditions (equal or less than 28º).

NORTH PLATTE
For a graphical representation (a bar across time) of potential freeze or
kllling freeze temperatures over the next 7 days for North Platte see links below:
(note: no bar = no freeze/killing freeze temperatures forecasted).

(click here for potential freeze (≤ 32º) temperature forecast for North Platte)
(click here for potential killing freeze (≤ 28º) temperature forecast for North Platte)

Probability of First Freeze (≤ 32º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 12September 24October 5
Probability of First Killing Freeze (≤ 28º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 17October 4October 20
Last 10 Years of First Freeze/Killing Freeze Dates
Year≤ 32º≤ 28º
200632ºSeptember 1828ºSeptember 28
200732ºOctober 828ºOctober 19
200830ºOctober 1327ºOctober 14
200931ºSeptember 2824ºOctober 3
201032ºOctober 1227ºOctober 13
201127ºSeptember 3027ºSeptember 30
201232ºOctober 128ºOctober 2
201330ºOctober 725ºOctober 16
201429ºOctober 327ºOctober 4
201528ºOctober 1628ºOctober 16
201631ºOctober 6?
Earliest Recorded Freeze/Killing Freeze
≤ 32º≤ 28º
TempDateTempDate
26ºSeptember 3, 197426ºSeptember 3, 1974
32ºSeptember 5, 195627ºSeptember 6, 1956
31ºSeptember 9, 197625ºSeptember 16, 1903
Latest Recorded Freeze/Killing Freeze
≤ 32º≤ 28º
TempDateTempDate
30ºOctober 28, 193128ºNovember 9, 1883
30ºOctober 27, 194727ºNovember 6, 1940
32ºOctober 27, 194125ºNovember 6, 1902

VALENTINE
For a graphical representation (a bar across time) of potential freeze or
killing freeze temperatures over the next 7 days for
Valentine see links below:
(note: no bar = no freeze/killing freeze temperatures forecasted).

(click here for potential freeze (≤ 32º) temperature forecast for Valentine)
(click here for potential killing freeze (≤ 28º) temperature forecast for Valentine)

Probability of First Freeze (≤ 32º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 12September 25October 7
Probability of First Killing Freeze (≤ 28º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 19October 4October 19
Last 10 Years of First Freeze/Killing Freeze Dates
Year≤ 32º≤ 28º
200530ºOctober 626ºOctober 7
200626ºSeptember 1926ºSeptember 19
200729ºSeptember 1427ºOctober 22
200831ºOctober 727ºOctober 14
200930ºSeptember 2927ºOctober 4
201029ºOctober 227ºOctober 19
201131ºSeptember 2227ºSeptember 30
201232ºSeptember 2225ºOctober 5
201329ºOctober 1624ºOctober 17
201430ºOctober 324ºOctober 4
201532ºOctober 1524ºOctober 16
201627ºOctober 627ºOctober 6
Earliest Recorded Freeze/Killing Freeze
≤ 32º≤ 28º
TempDateTempDate
30ºSeptember 3, 197428ºSeptember 6, 1956
32ºSeptember 5, 195625ºSeptember 12 1902
32ºSeptember 9, 194327ºSeptember 14, 1904
Latest Recorded Freeze/Killing Freeze
≤ 32º≤ 28º
TempDateTempDate
25ºOctober 28, 196327ºNovember 2, 1940
30ºOctober 27, 194127ºNovember 2, 1924
31ºOctober 19, 191128ºOctober 29, 1931

BROKEN BOW
For a graphical representation (a bar across time) of potential freeze or
killing freeze temperatures over the next 7 days for
Broken Bow see links below:
(note: no bar = no freeze/killing freeze temperatures forecasted).

(click here for potential freeze (≤ 32º) temperature forecast for Broken Bow)
(click here for potential killing freeze (≤ 28º) temperature forecast for Broken Bow)

Probability of First Freeze (≤ 32º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 13September 25October 8
Probability of First Killing Freeze (≤ 28º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 15October 1October 17
Last 10 Years of First Freeze/Killing Freeze Dates
Year≤ 32º≤ 28º
200529ºSeptember 2928ºOctober 6
200625ºOctober 1225ºOctober 12
200728ºOctober 2228ºOctober 22
200832ºOctober 1428ºOctober 16
200930ºSeptember 2922ºOctober 9
201032ºOctober 228ºOctober 18
201131ºSeptember 2327ºSeptember 30
201230ºSeptember 2327ºOctober 2
201332ºOctober 1625ºOctober 17
201431ºSeptember 1326ºOctober 18
201527ºOctober 1627ºOctober 16
201632ºSeptember 2623ºOctober 12

IMPERIAL
For a graphical representation (a bar across time) of potential freeze or
killing freeze temperatures over the next 7 days for
Imperial see links below:
(note: no bar = no freeze/killing freeze temperatures forecasted).

(click here for potential freeze (≤ 32º) temperature forecast for Imperial)
(click here for potential killing freeze (≤ 28º) temperature forecast for Imperial)

Probability of First Freeze (≤ 32º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
September 21October 4October 18
Probability of First Killing Freeze (≤ 28º)
10% Chance50% Chance90% Chance
October 3October 15October 27
Last 10 Years of First Freeze/Killing Freeze Dates
Year≤ 32º≤ 28º
200632ºSeptember 1926ºOctober 18
200732ºOctober 1627ºNovember 2
200832ºOctober 1425ºOctober 26
200931ºOctober 322ºOctober 9
201030ºOctober 1326ºOctober 29
201130ºOctober 1927ºOctober 20
201222ºOctober 622ºOctober 6
201330ºOctober 1528ºOctober 16
201431ºOctober 2725ºOctober 28
201531ºOctober 1624ºOctober 29
201631ºOctober 628ºOctober 7

Below is a list of numerous sites across western and north central Nebraska. The probability is base on the chance a freeze/killing freeze will occur on or before the date. The interactive forecast is a graphical representation (a bar across time) of National Weather Service forecasted hourly temperatures over the next 7 days. If there is no bar then no freeze/killing freeze conditions are forecasted. The links are different for killing freeze conditions (equal or less than 28º) and freeze conditions (equal or less than 32º).

LocationProbability of
First Freeze (≤ 32º)
Probability of
First Killing Freeze (≤ 28º)
Interactive
Forecast
10%50%90%10%50%90%≤32º / ≤28º
AinsworthSep20Oct07Oct24Sep28Oct14Oct30≤32 / ≤28
Anselmo 2SESep12Sep24Oct06Sep18Oct03Oct18≤32 / ≤28
ArnoldSep13Sep26Oct09Sep19Oct04Oct19≤32 / ≤28
ArthurSep14Sep25Oct06Sep18Oct04Oct20≤32 / ≤28
AtkinsonSep15Sep30Oct15Sep21Oct09Oct26≤32 / ≤28
Big SpringsSep18Oct01Oct14Sep30Oct13Oct26≤32 / ≤28
BrewsterSep13Sep25Oct08Sep19Oct05Oct21≤32 / ≤28
BurwellSep16Sep28Oct10Sep22Oct08Oct24≤32 / ≤28
ButteSep19Oct03Oct17Sep26Oct12Oct29≤32 / ≤28
ChambersSep15Sep30Oct15Sep27Oct12Oct27≤32 / ≤28
Crescent Lake National
Wildlife Refuge
Sep09Sep24Oct08Sep13Sep30Oct17≤32 / ≤28
Curtis 3NNESep13Sep24Oct06Sep17Oct04Oct20≤32 / ≤28
Ellsworth 15NNESep10Sep23Oct07Sep17Oct01Oct16≤32 / ≤28
Enders LakeSep14Sep27Oct11Sep22Oct09Oct26≤32 / ≤28
EwingSep14Sep26Oct09Sep19Oct05Oct21≤32 / ≤28
Gordon 6NSep10Sep24Oct08Sep18Oct05Oct22≤32 / ≤28
Hayes CenterSep22Oct07Oct23Sep30Oct17Nov02≤32 / ≤28
Hay SpringsSep12Sep23Oct05Sep16Oct01Oct16≤32 / ≤28
Hay Springs 12SSep10Sep21Oct02Sep14Sep27Oct10≤32 / ≤28
Hershey 5SSESep16Oct02Oct17Sep26Oct12Oct28≤32 / ≤28
Kingsley DamSep22Oct09Oct25Oct04Oct19Nov03≤32 / ≤28
MadridSep16Oct01Oct16Sep30Oct13Oct27≤32 / ≤28
Medicine Creek DamSep16Sep29Oct13Sep28Oct12Oct26≤32 / ≤28
MerrimanSep09Sep24Oct08Sep18Oct04Oct20≤32 / ≤28
Mullen 21NWSep05Sep22Oct09Sep16Oct01Oct15≤32 / ≤28
NewportSep13Oct01Oct18Sep26Oct11Oct27≤32 / ≤28
OcontoSep15Sep29Oct14Sep21Oct06Oct22≤32 / ≤28
OgallalaSep13Sep30Oct16Sep22Oct09Oct25≤32 / ≤28
O'neillSep14Sep28Oct12Sep23Oct09Oct25≤32 / ≤28
OshkoshSep13Sep24Oct05Sep19Oct03Oct17≤32 / ≤28
PurdumSep12Sep25Oct07Sep20Oct04Oct19≤32 / ≤28
Red Willow DamSep16Sep29Oct11Sep28Oct11Oct24≤32 / ≤28
Rose 10WNWSep13Sep25Oct08Sep17Oct04Oct21≤32 / ≤28
RushvilleSep11Sep24Oct06Sep17Oct03Oct20≤32 / ≤28
SpringviewSep15Oct02Oct19Sep23Oct10Oct27≤32 / ≤28
TryonSep14Sep26Oct07Sep18Oct03Oct17≤32 / ≤28
Wallace 2WSep13Sep26Oct09Sep19Oct04Oct19≤32 / ≤28


Climatology of a Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze (3)Page composition
Matt Masek
Images by Shawn Jacobs
Climatology of a Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze (4)
Climatology of a Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze (2024)

FAQs

Climatology of a Fall Freeze/Killing Freeze? ›

A freeze will occur when temperatures reach or fall below 32 degrees. While some plants are able to with stand a brief period at or just below 32 degrees, most plants will not survive once temperatures drop to or below 28 degrees (often refer to as a killing freeze).

What temperature is considered a killing frost? ›

A "killing frost" is now considered to be a temperature of 28°F in the United States, but in 1916, the type of frost was determined by the level of damage incurred.

How many hours is a hard freeze? ›

HOUSTON – When the temperature drops to 24° or below for two hours or more, that is considered a “hard” freeze. That is most dangerous to pipes freezing (and don't forget pool pipes!).

What does a hard freeze warning mean? ›

NWS issues a hard freeze warning when temperatures are expected to drop below 28°F for an extended period of time, killing most types of commercial crops and residential plants. Freeze Warning: Take Action!

What temperature is a frost event? ›

A frost occurs when the temperature at ground level falls to 0°C, however most temperate plant species will tolerate this and it is not until temperature falls below -2°C when water moves out of the plant cells resulting in death and desiccation of the tissue.

At what temperature should you cover your plants at night? ›

A moderate frost, with temperatures ranging from about 28°F to 32°F, necessitates a bit more precaution. In addition to tucking your plants in well with some frost cloth or cover, it's also a good idea to water your plants the evening before frost is expected to hit.

Should I cover my plants at 39 degrees? ›

Covering plant material at temperatures between 39-30 with freeze cloth or covering can be effective. Prolonged exposure at temperatures of 28 degrees and below will notice protection results diminish with each degree dropped.

What temperature is a hard freeze in the winter? ›

Frost becomes more widespread when the temperature falls below 32°F with some freeze possible. A hard freeze is possible when temperatures fall below 28°F.

Is 29 degrees a hard freeze? ›

A hard freeze is anything within the range of 28 - 25 degrees. A freeze this severe this destructive to most all our crops.

What is the difference between a freeze and a hard freeze? ›

Generally, a “freeze” happens anytime temperatures drop to 32 degrees or lower. But to be considered a “hard” freeze, temperatures must drop to at least 28 degrees and stay there for a significant amount of time, usually at least a few hours. POLAR PLUNGE: A hard freeze is coming to Texas next week.

What temperature do pipes freeze at? ›

Your pipes are at risk of freezing any time temperatures drop below 32°F. However, it's much more common for pipes to freeze when temperatures dip below 20°F. The longer the weather remains below freezing, the more likely it is your pipes can freeze if not properly protected and winterized.

Should I drive during a hard freeze? ›

The biggest danger of driving in freezing temperatures is the build up of black ice. As its name implies, this type of ice can appear black and blend in with the dark pavement. Whether you are driving during the day or at night and on back roads or the highway, you can easily miss a patch of black ice on the road.

Can there be frost above 32 degrees? ›

Thus, frost can form even when a thermometer gives a reading in the upper 30s. Since official weather measurements are taken in an instrument shelter four to five feet above the ground, frost can form even when the official temperature is above freezing. (Related: measuring weather).

How cold does it have to be for a killing frost? ›

A freeze happens when air temperature dips below 32°F. The colder it gets, the more damage you'll see to annual and perennial plants. A hard freeze is usually between 28-25°F, and a killing freeze is 24 degrees F and below.

What flowers to cover in a freeze warning? ›

Perennial Flowers: Most perennial plants do not suffer frost damage and do not need to be covered. Frost sensitive perennials include Hostas and Bleeding Hearts. They should be covered to protect their foliage and flowers. Cover any blooming or budded up perennials.

Will cardboard boxes protect plants from frost? ›

You can also use cardboard boxes to add a layer of insulation when container gardening if you're worried about potted plants at risk of frost. Simply invert a cardboard box over the top and weigh down the flaps to make it secure. So the answer is yes, cardboard boxes will protect plants from frost.

Can you get frost at 40 degrees? ›

A local study done on frost formation relating temperature to dew point has these guidelines for frost: temperatures from 38 to 42 F can lead to patchy frost, 33 to 37 areas of frost, and 32 and below widespread frost/freeze.

At what temperature does frost settle? ›

Q: Can frost occur at temperatures above 32°F? A1: No, frost is defined as a layer of ice that forms on surfaces that are at or below 32°F.

Is 32 a killing frost? ›

A freeze happens when air temperature dips below 32°F. The colder it gets, the more damage you'll see to annual and perennial plants. A hard freeze is usually between 28-25°F, and a killing freeze is 24 degrees F and below.

At what temperature will frost melt? ›

At temperatures below 32°F (0°C), liquid water freezes; 32°F (0°C) is the freezing point of water. At temperatures above 32°F (0°C), pure water ice melts and changes state from a solid to a liquid (water); 32°F (0°C) is the melting point.

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