Central bank digital currency evolution in 2023: From investigation to preparation (2024)

Digital Currencies Financial Regulation International Financial Institutions

Econographics November 6, 2023

By Alisha Chhangani

The momentum behind Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) has remained strong in the second half of 2023. New research from our CBDC tracker shows that 130 countries are now exploring a CBDC, representing 98 percent of global GDP. A new high of sixty-four countries are now in the advanced phase of exploration (launch, pilot, or development). Notably, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a preparation phase to lay the foundations for a digital euro, and PetroChina, a Chinese oil and gas company, completed the first international crude oil trade using the digital yuan (e-CNY).

As the year comes to a close, we are taking stock of the progress on CBDCs around the world since our last check in, in March.

The single biggest news since then concerns the Eurosystem: The European Central Bank (ECB), one of the largest central banks in the world, took a significant step toward CBDC exploration, announcing a new “preparation phase” for a digital euro in October. The digital euro is intended to be a digital form of cash that provides offline services, high levels of privacy, and instant settlements in central bank money. The ECB spent the last two years in its “investigative phase” where the bank explored potential design and distribution models for a CBDC. The new “preparation phase” will begin in November 2023, and will last for at least two years. This critical phase will lay the foundations for a digital euro, focusing on finalizing a rulebook, selecting providers for platform and infrastructure development, and conducting extensive testing and experimentation.

One of the key features in the investigative phase is implementing a compensation model. This model aims to create incentives for banks and payment service providers (PSPs) to distribute digital euro and to ensure that these payments will be free of charge and widely accepted across the euro area. Although this phase will not include a decision on whether to issue a digital euro, it signals a commitment to preparing and innovating for the future of digital currency in the Eurozone. The ECB’s approach emphasizes the significance of comprehensive research and collaboration with industry stakeholders. As the preparation phase progresses, it is expected to generate valuable insights that may play a pivotal role in shaping the introduction of a digital euro, and potentially influencing the border financial landscape.

The ECB is not the only central bank making progress in CBDC development: Here’s a tour of how CBDCs have developed over the past eight months.

Country updates

Argentina

Juan Agustín D’Attellis Noguera, Director of the Central Bank of Argentina, announced that the bank is working on the legal framework for the CBDC project in pesos. Argentina is considering introducing a CBDC to primarily address economic issues and inflation.

Australia

In October, Mastercard successfully concluded a CBDC blockchain pilot with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), demonstrating the potential for CBDCs to interoperate with various blockchains. However, as of November 2023, the RBA suggests that the development of a full-scale CBDC is still a few years away.

Brazil

The Central Bank of Brazil is addressing issues of privacy and infrastructure as it develops the digital real (DREX). The first-phase launch is planned for May 2024, aiming to expand their CBDC across all financial services.

China

PetroChina, a Chinese oil and gas company, has completed the first international crude oil trade using China, the e-CNY. The transaction involved the purchase of 1 million barrels of crude oil settled in e-CNY at the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Exchange. The deal was part of the efforts to address the Shanghai municipal government’s requirements to use the e-CNY in cross-border trade.

India

The Reserve Bank of India intends to launch its CBDC in the interbank borrowing market, particularly the call money market, using CBDCs as tokens for call money settlement. India’s CBDC is currently undergoing a pilot phase, with the central bank aiming for one million daily transactions by the end of 2023.

Japan

The Bank of Japan launched a forum in partnership with 60 companies for the pilot program on a digital yen. The discussions will focus on various aspects of retail settlements with CBDCs.

Nepal

Nepal Rastra Bank announced plans to develop a CBDC. However, this will be challenging with ongoing bans on cryptocurrency and stablecoin activity.

Philippines

The Philippines is moving forward with plans for a wholesale CBDC, partnering with Hyperledger Fabric for its first digital peso pilot, Project Agila. The pilot program aims to enhance large cross-border foreign currency transfers and mitigate settlement risks by using a wholesale CBDC.

Russia

Russia is pushing forward with its plans for a digital ruble, aiming for mass adoption among its citizens by 2027. This follows the Russian Parliament passing a digital ruble bill in August.

South Korea

The Bank of Korea, the Financial Services Commission, and the Financial Supervisory Service are jointly planning a pilot test for a CBDC to assess its potential use in both retail and wholesale payments. Wholesale testing will begin this month and retail testing will begin at the end of 2024.

Switzerland

The Swiss National Bank is partnering with six commercial banks and the SIX Swiss Exchange to pilot a wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC) named the Swiss franc wCBDC. The pilot, known as Helvetia Phase III, will test the use of the Swiss franc wCBDC for settling digital securities transactions from December 2023 to June 2024.

United States

Congressman Stephen Lynch (D-MA) reintroduced legislation to develop a US CBDC in September. This move followed the announcement of the Congressional Digital Dollar Caucus, a group that will focus on advancing the development and understanding of a digital dollar.

Central Bank Digital Currency TrackerOur flagship Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Tracker takes you inside the rapid evolution of money all over the world. The interactive database now tracks over 130 countries— triple the number of countries we first identified as being active in CBDC development in 2020.

Cross-border projects

Project Mariana

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) concluded Project Mariana, a wholesale CBDC experiment in collaboration with central banks from France, Singapore, and Switzerland, focusing on cross-border trading and settlement using automatic market makers. The project aimed to enhance efficiency and mitigate credit and settlement risks, while highlighting the importance of international cooperation and interoperability of digital currencies.

Project Sela

The BIS, alongside the central banks of Hong Kong and Israel, successfully completed a retail CBDC test, Project Sela. Their proof-of-concept retail CBDC combined cash-like features with digital infrastructure while emphasizing privacy and accessibility.

Looking ahead

The GeoEconomics Center will continue to track CBDC exploration around the world, as governments and central banks continue to adopt efficient, resilient, and inclusive digital solutions. To stay updated on these developments, follow our CBDC tracker and our Future of Money work. As we enter 2024, we can expect much more from the digital currency world.

Join the GeoEconomics Center on November 28th for an upcoming conference: “Exploring central bank digital currency: Evaluating challenges & developing international standards.” This first-of-its-kind convening of leaders from international financial institutions, central banks, technology providers, and governments aims to establish an understanding of the issues before a country decides to develop a CBDC.

Alisha Chhanganiis a program assistant with the GeoEconomics Center focusing on digital currencies. Follow her on Twitter@alisha_chh.

At the intersection of economics, finance, and foreign policy, the GeoEconomics Center is a translation hub with the goal of helping shape a better global economic future.

Learn more

Further reading

Thu, Nov 2, 2023

Asking the right questions: Can digital currency enable financial inclusion?

Issue Brief By Ananya Kumar

Cryptocurrencies and CBDCs have the potential to enhance financial inclusion. However, the lack of quantitative data makes it challenging to evaluate their impact. To assess their financial inclusion capacity, this paper builds a rubric for policymakers which includes layers of consideration.

Digital Currencies

Tue, Mar 21, 2023

Snapshot: Which countries have made the most progress on CBDCs so far in 2023

Econographics By Alisha Chhangani

Despite only being three months into 2023, these 18 countries have made significant progress on central bank digital currencies.

Digital Currencies

Thu, Dec 15, 2022

It’s official: The United States is developing a bank-to-bank digital currency

New Atlanticist By Josh Lipsky, Ananya Kumar

The New York Federal Reserve’s latest project shows the United States making its presence felt in the digital-currency race.

Digital Currencies

Digital Currencies Financial Regulation International Financial Institutions

Central bank digital currency evolution in 2023: From investigation to preparation (2024)

FAQs

Central bank digital currency evolution in 2023: From investigation to preparation? ›

Central bank digital currency evolution in 2023: From investigation to preparation. The momentum behind Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) has remained strong in the second half of 2023. New research from our CBDC tracker shows that 130 countries are now exploring a CBDC, representing 98 percent of global GDP.

Is the central bank going to digital currency? ›

While the Federal Reserve has made no decisions on whether to pursue or implement a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, we have been exploring the potential benefits and risks of CBDCs from a variety of angles, including through technological research and experimentation.

How do I prepare for the new digital currency? ›

Preparing for a world of CBDCs
  1. Prepare consumer-facing wallets.
  2. Build tech to custody CBDC keys.
  3. Maintain trusted security infrastructure.
  4. Develop accompanying KYC and AML tools for digital payments transactions.
  5. Develop new customer services and products.

What is the digital currency of the US dollar? ›

Understanding the digital dollar

A CBDC, known as a “digital dollar,” is a proposed form of electronic currency that could be used to buy or sell almost any goods and services in the US much like a regular dollar is used today.

What is the central bank digital currency solution? ›

Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a new form of money that exists only in digital form. Instead of printing money, the central bank issues widely accessible digital coins so that digital transactions and transfers become simple.

Is the United States getting new currency? ›

The Federal Reserve will spend $931.4 million to print bills in 2023 — but there's a problem with U.S. cash. "We haven't modernized or changed our currency.

What will replace the US dollar? ›

But that begs a critical question: What would replace the dollar? Some say it will be the euro; others, perhaps the Japanese yen or China's renminbi. And some call for a new world reserve currency, possibly based on the IMF's Special Drawing Right or SDR, a reserve asset.

How close are we to a cashless society? ›

11% of US adults have completely stopped using cash, up from 5% five years ago (Source: Gallup) The average number of cash payments fell from 26% in 2019 to 20% in 2021 (Source: Federal Reserve) Between 2012 and 2022, cheque transactions declined by almost half (Source: Federal Reserve)

How do I cash out digital currency? ›

How to cash out your crypto or Bitcoin
  1. Use an exchange to sell crypto. One of the easiest ways to cash out your cryptocurrency or Bitcoin is to use a centralized exchange such as Coinbase. ...
  2. Use your broker to sell crypto. ...
  3. Go with a peer-to-peer trade. ...
  4. Cash out at a Bitcoin ATM. ...
  5. Trade one crypto for another and then cash out.
Feb 9, 2024

Should cash currency be eliminated? ›

Why Eliminate Cash? Cash can be used in criminal activities such as money laundering and tax evasion because it is difficult to trace. Digital transactions or electronic money create an audit trail for law enforcement and financial institutions and can aid governments in economic policymaking.

What happens if the US goes to digital dollar? ›

Here in the U.S., if the Fed issued a digital dollar, that digital dollar would be substantially identical to the cash dollar and could be exchanged as such. The exchange rate would be constant, as they would be the same thing created by the same governmental mechanism.

Is Bank of America replacing the dollar with digital currency? ›

The Federal Reserve continues to pilot a central bank digital currency, but will not issue one without executive branch and Congressional support, the report said. Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, but a digital dollar is unlikely in the near term, Bank of America (BAC) said in a report on Monday.

Will cash become obsolete? ›

This author says that's a false narrative. If it's been a long time since you pulled out actual dollars and coins to pay for something — here's a conversation for you. It might seem like cash is slowly becoming obsolete. But, Brett Scott says it's a false narrative that we're all pining for a cashless society.

Will digital currency replace money? ›

Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

Why will cash never go away in the US? ›

Cash also remains a significant portion of business at gas and convenience stores (33%), mass merchants (32%), restaurants and bars (26%), and warehouse clubs and food stores (25%), according to IHL. With so much business still conducted in cash, don't expect it to disappear any time soon.

Is CBDC good or bad? ›

A CBDC is an efficient payment instrument for both domestic and international transactions, but it might prompt households and firms to shift funds away from bank deposits, increasing banks' funding cost and decreasing investment in the economy.

What banks are going to the digital dollar? ›

Participating banks include BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank and Wells Fargo.

Will credit unions have digital currency? ›

A number of credit unions began their crypto journey in 2022 and more are beginning to explore it in 2023. This is an evolving technology with changing use cases and the regulations will need to evolve along with the applications.

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