Ares Capital: An Income Investor's Dream, Increasing The Dividend 12% And Yielding 9.95% (2024)

Ares Capital: An Income Investor's Dream, Increasing The Dividend 12% And Yielding 9.95% (1)

In my previous article about Ares Capital (NASDAQ:ARCC) I discussed how they should benefit from a rising rate environment and how the 8 million share offering would be positive for creating shareholder value. ARCC once again just proved why they are the crème de la creme of Business Development Corporations (BDCs) as they delivered strong Q3 earnings and rewarded shareholders with a 12% dividend increase. I have always indicated that ARCC isn't flashy and it won't have the strong tailwinds that the popular tech companies have, but it's a solid income play that continues to drive value. I felt that the sell-off was unwarranted, and I continued to purchase shares during the sell-off. ARCC delivered a top and bottom line beat in Q3, raised its dividend, and is paying an additional dividend in Q4 as the rising rate environment has been good for business. I think ARCC is still a good investment as it's still down -8.42% YTD and roughly -16% off its 52-week highs.

ARCC delivered a lot of strong news in Q3

If anyone had questions about ARCC's ability to drive profitability in a rising rate environment, those questions have been answered. In Q3, ARCC delivered $0.50 of core EPS which was a YoY increase of 6.38% ($0.03) and a QoQ increase of 8.7% ($0.04). ARCC's net investment income per share jumped 42.5% ($0.17) YoY from $0.40 to $0.57 and 9.62% ($0.05) QoQ. ARCC's net asset value per share rose 2.16% ($0.04) YoY to $18.56. In Q3, ARCC delivered the largest amount of investment income over the past 5 quarters, as they generated $537 million. ARCC' 's net investment income after expenses and taxes was $288 million, a $104 million (56.52%) increase YoY. This also allowed ARCC to drive its portfolio weighted average EBITDA by 35.86% ($56.3 million) YoY and its average portfolio EBITDA by $27 million (24.66%) YoY.

This indicates that ARCC should be in a position to drive larger core earnings in the future as continued rising rates combined with ARCC's portfolio should provide tailwinds going into Q4 and 2023. ARCC made $2.2 billion of new investment commitments in Q3, which included $242 million of new investment commitments to IHAM. ARCC's Q3 investment commitments included 13 new portfolio companies, 26 existing portfolio companies, and one additional portfolio company through the Senior Direct Lending Program. Of the $2.2 billion in new commitments made during the third quarter of 2022, 62% were in first-lien senior secured loans, 5% were second-lien senior secured loans, 4% were subordinated certificates of the SDLP, 9% were preferred equity, 15% were for Ares Capital's investment in IHAM, and 5% were in other equity. Throughout the $2.2 billion of investments, 81% were in floating rate debt securities, of which 91% contained interest rate floors.

ARCC's activity didn't stop when Q3 ended, as management has been hard at work looking for opportunities to deliver value for shareholders. Throughout the month of October, which is the first month of Q4, ARCC has allocated $1.1 billion to new investment commitments. ARCC's commitments consist of first-lien senior secured loans at 68%, second-lien senior secured loans at 31%, and 1% in other equity. 98% of these commitments were at a floating rate, while 1% were non-income producing and 1% were non-accrual status.

The strongest dividend is one that has just been raised

ARCC is an income investment for me, and it does a spectacular job of generating income for shareholders. ARCC just provided a 12% quarterly dividend increase from $0.43 to $0.48. In addition to a double-digit increase, ARCC is paying its 4th consecutive special dividend of $0.03 in Q4. Income investors should be ecstatic as ARCC has delivered 3 dividend increases and 4 special dividends in 2022. ARCC started the year by increasing the quarterly dividend from $0.41 to $0.42, then increased it to $0.43 in Q3 and $0.48 in Q4. ARCC has also delivered an additional $0.12 through special dividends of $0.03 per quarter. The strongest dividend is one that has just been increased, and ARCC has demonstrated the strength of its dividend throughout 2022.

ARCC went public through an IPO at $15 per share in the fall of 2004. When 2022 concludes, ARCC will have paid $27.90 in dividends since it went public, which is 186% of its IPO price. ARCC has a long history of paying dividends and creating value for its shareholders. As rates are set to rise again, 2023 could be another strong year for dividend increases and special dividends being paid to shareholders. ARCC's dividend track record is hard to replicate, and the special dividends are an added bonus on top of the 54 consecutive quarters of unchanged or growing dividends. ARCC is yielding just below 10% and it's proven that it can generate large amounts of income throughout different economic cycles.

ARCC's valuation

ARCC looks to be trading at an attractive valuation compared to its peers. Currently, ARCC trades at a 9.9x multiple on its NII, which is significantly lower than the 13.30x peer group average. If I was to exclude Barings BDC (BBDC), ARCC would still trade under the group average of 10.24x.

ARCC is trading slightly above its NAV at a 3.93% premium. Since I believe ARCC is the gold standard, I am willing to put a premium on its shares and buy them about the NAV.

The peer group has an average dividend yield of 10.04%, and ARCC is right under this mark as it pays roughly 9.95%. When you add in the special dividend that ARCC generated, it puts them at around a 10.6% yield. When it comes to ARCC's dividend, I am not concerned about it being under the peer group average due to ARCC's track record. When a dividend is this large, I want to know that the dividend is secure and not at risk.

Conclusion

A beat on the top and bottom line, with a 3rd dividend increase in 2022 and declaring its 4th quarterly special dividend of the year, is nothing to complain about. I believe ARCC just showed the investment community why so many investors look at them as the gold standard of BDCs. I believe ARCC is attractive under $20 as ARCC presents an opportunity for capital appreciation and income generation. I plan on adding more shares as I believe there will be opportunities for dividend increases and additional special dividends in 2023 due to ARCC driving value from rising rates.

Barbell Capital provides investors with a comprehensive approach that utilizes growth, value, dividends, and options for income, to generate alpha in your portfolio while mitigating downside risk. Within Barbell Capital you will find exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. There is also a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts, and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep. Join today with a two-week free trial!

Ares Capital: An Income Investor's Dream, Increasing The Dividend 12% And Yielding 9.95% (2024)

FAQs

What is Ares capital dividend growth rate? ›

Ares Capital (Ares Capital) 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate : 4.00% (As of Mar. 2024)

Is Ares Capital a good stock to buy? ›

Based on analyst ratings, Ares Capital Corp's 12-month average price target is $21.95. Ares Capital Corp has 4.75% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Ares Capital Corp has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 7 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.

Does Ares Capital pay a monthly dividend? ›

Regular payouts for ARCC are paid quarterly.

What is the dividend payout ratio for Ares Capital? ›

During the past 13 years, the highest Dividend Payout Ratio of Ares Capital was 1.47. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 0.91. As of today (2024-07-19), the Dividend Yield % of Ares Capital is 9.24%.

What is the stock price forecast for Ares Capital? ›

Based on short-term price targets offered by 13 analysts, the average price target for Ares Capital comes to $21.81. The forecasts range from a low of $20.00 to a high of $24.00. The average price target represents an increase of 2.49% from the last closing price of $21.28.

What is the yield of Ares stock? ›

Ratings - ARES

Outlook stable. 2.47% forward dividend yield.

Is ARCC safe? ›

Backed by global asset management firm ARES, ARCC has a solid track record, maintaining or increasing its dividend for over 15 consecutive years. During this time, the firm has had to battle through various difficult markets, including Covid and the housing collapse.

Should I invest in ARES? ›

Ares Capital currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.54, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 13 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.54 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.

How does Ares Capital make money? ›

Ares Capital Corporation is a business development corporation (BDC) that provides financing to middle-market companies. It does this by investing in debt or equity to companies with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) between $10 million and $250 million.

What is the highest paying monthly dividend stock? ›

Top 9 monthly dividend stocks by yield
SymbolCompany nameForward dividend yield (annual)
SILASILA Realty Trust6.84%
APLEApple Hospitality REIT6.57%
MAINMain Street Capital Corp.5.75%
ORealty Income Corp.5.44%
5 more rows

Is Ares Capital private equity? ›

Ares runs eight different investment groups: Credit, Private Equity, Real Assets, Secondary Solutions, Strategic Initiatives, Real Estate, Infrastructure Opportunities, and Infrastructure Debt. Ares is one of the world's most prominent credit investors.

What stock pays dividends? ›

15 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy for 2024
StockDividend yield
Verizon Communications Inc. (ticker: VZ)6.4%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE)5.7%
United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS)4.4%
First American Financial Corp. (FAF)3.6%
11 more rows
Jul 17, 2024

What is the PE ratio of Ares Capital? ›

P/E ratio as of July 2024 (TTM): 8.85

According to Ares Capital 's latest financial reports and stock price the company's current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 8.85085. At the end of 2022 the company had a P/E ratio of 15.3.

Which company has the highest dividend payout ratio? ›

Overview of the Top Dividend Paying Stocks in India
  • Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd. ...
  • Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. ...
  • Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. ...
  • Vedanta Ltd. ...
  • Coal India Ltd. ...
  • Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. ...
  • UTI Asset Management Company Ltd. ...
  • Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.
Jul 16, 2024

What is a safe dividend payout ratio? ›

Healthy. A range of 35% to 55% is considered healthy and appropriate from a dividend investor's point of view. A company that is likely to distribute roughly half of its earnings as dividends means that the company is well established and a leader in its industry.

What is the real dividend growth rate? ›

This formula calculates the growth rate as a percentage. Imagine a company paid a dividend of $1.00 per share last year and this year, it paid $1.10 per share. Here's how you'd plug those numbers into the formula: DGR = (1.10 - 1.00) / (1.00) X 100 = 10%

What is the dividend growth rate ratio? ›

The dividend growth rate is the percentage of growth of a particular company's stocks over a period of time. Typically, this rate is calculated on an annual basis, considering the fact that companies increase their dividend payouts to shareholders, over a number of years.

What is the yield on ARCC? ›

ARCC pays a dividend of $0.48 per share. ARCC's annual dividend yield is 9.25%. When is Ares Capital Corp ex-dividend date? Ares Capital's previous ex-dividend date was on Jun 14, 2024.

How often does AFCG pay dividends? ›

Regular payouts for AFCG are paid quarterly.

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